Carl T. Bergstrom
@CT_Bergstrom
1. I'm enthusiastic about the prospect of cheap, fast, at-home paper strip COVID tests for daily proactive screening.
To get the most out of them, we need to start thinking now about issues around incentives and individuals behavior.
theatlantic.com/health/archive…
To get the most out of them, we need to start thinking now about issues around incentives and individuals behavior.
theatlantic.com/health/archive…
Carl T. Bergstrom
@CT_Bergstrom
1. As you may know, I'm a strong advocate of COVID testing. For the past few months, I've been collaborating with the people at @Color Genomics to understand how workplace testing could reduce outbreak sizes.
Out today, a blog post about what we found. color.com/modeling-sars-…
Out today, a blog post about what we found. color.com/modeling-sars-…
Noah Smith 🐇
@Noahpinion
"Rabbits are easy to litter-train" Smith 🐇
@Noahpinion
1/It's that time again, kids!
Time.
For.
Coronavirus Tweets From the Experts, 6/29/2020
Time.
For.
Coronavirus Tweets From the Experts, 6/29/2020
Carl T. Bergstrom
@CT_Bergstrom
So various media are reporting a new pandemic flu virus discovered in China.
What does this actually mean?
Let's look at the original paper. Actually, that's not so easy to do because—unconscionably in my opinion—@PNAS has put it behind a paywall.
pnas.org/content/early/…
What does this actually mean?
Let's look at the original paper. Actually, that's not so easy to do because—unconscionably in my opinion—@PNAS has put it behind a paywall.
pnas.org/content/early/…
Carl T. Bergstrom
@CT_Bergstrom
1. A few weeks ago, several Italian doctors made quite a stir in the news. They claimed that the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus was "losing potency", and hinted at genetic changes in the virus.
Carl T. Bergstrom
@CT_Bergstrom
Last week, a press released provided initial and promising results from a large scale trial of the corticosteroid dexamethasone in hospitalized COVID patients. Today the authors released a full report: medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
Carl T. Bergstrom
@CT_Bergstrom
Carl T. Bergstrom
@CT_Bergstrom
1. Many people have asked me whether the ongoing Black Lives Matter protests around the country pose a risk of increasing coronavirus spread.
As a scientist, I acknowledge that they may.
As a citizen, I wholeheartedly support the protests nonetheless.
As a scientist, I acknowledge that they may.
As a citizen, I wholeheartedly support the protests nonetheless.
#TestAndTrace Smith 🐇
@Noahpinion
1/Drop your socks and grab your intermediate-range ballistic missiles, because it's time for:
Coronavirus Tweets From the Experts, 5/28/2020
twitter.com/Noahpinion/lis…
Coronavirus Tweets From the Experts, 5/28/2020
twitter.com/Noahpinion/lis…
Carl T. Bergstrom
@CT_Bergstrom
1. A thread on selection bias, COVID testing, and a failure to detect community spread in the US that cost us a month or more in the pandemic response.
In my forthcoming book with @JevinWest, we devote an entire chapter to a class of statistical pitfalls known as selection bias.
In my forthcoming book with @JevinWest, we devote an entire chapter to a class of statistical pitfalls known as selection bias.
#TestAndTrace Smith 🐇
@Noahpinion
1/Buckle up as this fusion-powered spaceship takes off! It's:
Coronavirus Tweets From the Experts, 5/19/2020
twitter.com/Noahpinion/lis…
Coronavirus Tweets From the Experts, 5/19/2020
twitter.com/Noahpinion/lis…
#TestAndTrace EVERYWHERE NOW 🐇
@Noahpinion
1/Kick back in your Lay-Z-Boy, pop open a beer, and relax with some...
Coronavirus Tweets from the Experts, 5/9/2020
twitter.com/Noahpinion/lis…
Coronavirus Tweets from the Experts, 5/9/2020
twitter.com/Noahpinion/lis…
#TestAndTrace EVERYWHERE NOW 🐇
@Noahpinion
1/It's time for...Coronavirus Tweets From the Experts!
Buckle up, we're in for a wild ride!!
...or some links to websites about virology and stuff
twitter.com/Noahpinion/lis…
Buckle up, we're in for a wild ride!!
...or some links to websites about virology and stuff
twitter.com/Noahpinion/lis…
#TestAndTrace EVERYWHERE NOW 🐇
@Noahpinion
#TestAndTrace EVERYWHERE NOW 🐇
@Noahpinion
#TestAndTrace EVERYWHERE NOW 🐇
@Noahpinion
#TestAndTrace EVERYWHERE NOW 🐇
@Noahpinion
Carl T. Bergstrom
@CT_Bergstrom
1. There's a relatively new study out of Denmark that estimates seroprevalence from nearly 10,000 blood donations by people age 17-69 to be 1.7%
(CI: 0.9-2.3).
medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
(CI: 0.9-2.3).
medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
#TestAndTrace EVERYWHERE NOW 🐇
@Noahpinion
#TestAndTrace EVERYWHERE NOW 🐇
@Noahpinion
#TestAndTrace EVERYWHERE NOW 🐇
@Noahpinion
#TestAndTrace EVERYWHERE NOW 🐇
@Noahpinion
#TestAndTrace EVERYWHERE NOW 🐇
@Noahpinion
Carl T. Bergstrom
@CT_Bergstrom
1. A short thread about best and worst case models of coronavirus.
I've talked about how the @UW_IHME model strikes me as a best case model (at least given current data inputs) and its confidence ranges represent uncertainty around that best case, not best-to-worst cases.
I've talked about how the @UW_IHME model strikes me as a best case model (at least given current data inputs) and its confidence ranges represent uncertainty around that best case, not best-to-worst cases.
Carl T. Bergstrom
@CT_Bergstrom
1. A somewhat more technical thread than usual.
I'm trying to understand the new @UW_IHME #COVID19 forecasting model that was released this morning.
Here is a web page with background, a link to a whitepaper, and estimates for US states: healthdata.org/research-artic…
I'm trying to understand the new @UW_IHME #COVID19 forecasting model that was released this morning.
Here is a web page with background, a link to a whitepaper, and estimates for US states: healthdata.org/research-artic…
Carl T. Bergstrom
@CT_Bergstrom
1. This is going to be a personal thread about the experience of working at the intersection of infectious disease modeling and the study of misinformation during the worst pandemic in a century.
If you're just interested in what is happening with the virus, you can skip it.
If you're just interested in what is happening with the virus, you can skip it.
Carl T. Bergstrom
@CT_Bergstrom
1. A very short thread on the power of data graphics and scientific communication.
Roughly a week ago, some very smart person* sat down, drew this graph, and saved lives.
(*It's 2 AM. Without an economist subscription, I can't quickly discover whom. Maybe someone can help.)
Roughly a week ago, some very smart person* sat down, drew this graph, and saved lives.
(*It's 2 AM. Without an economist subscription, I can't quickly discover whom. Maybe someone can help.)
Carl T. Bergstrom
@CT_Bergstrom
Today I met a fledgling crow who could almost but not quite fly, who use entirely unafraid of me, and whose parents had no concern about my presence. As a result, I was able to take a number of closeup pictures.
With this little bird's help, let's talk a bit about crow anatomy.
With this little bird's help, let's talk a bit about crow anatomy.
